Sturgeon fuming as she’s accused of overlooking 374% surge in Covid risk: ‘Basic stuff!’

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More than 100 people who had tested positive for COVID-19 were discharged from hospitals into care homes without first receiving a negative test, according to a new report. A total of 113 people were moved between March 1 and May 31 although they had not received a negative test before they were transferred, the Public Health Scotland study shows. First Minister Nicola Sturgeon was questioned about what was left out of the report.

Speaking in Scottish Parliament, Ms Davidson said: “When somebody tested positive for COVID before being transferred to a care home, the report said that the best estimate was a 45 percent increase in the risk of an outbreak.

“But because of the wide variation, the risk could have been much higher.

“In fact the report says it could have been as high as 374 percent.

“A 374 percent increase in risk of seeing COVID rip through a care home.

“This is exactly why we need the public inquiry to start now because there is so much we still don’t know.

“What we do know is that only 13.5 percent of care homes who were never sent any patients ended up having an outbreak.

“That jumped to 38 percent when a home had one or more patients put into their care.

“But we still don’t know how high that number goes when a care home had a known COVID positive patient sent to them.

“That’s pretty basic stuff. Why was that number left out of the report?”

Ms Sturgeon replied: “This was a report that was done independently from the government.

“Public Health Scotland published the report but the report was contributed to by academics who are entirely independent.

“They conducted a briefing with journalists yesterday to discuss their methodology and their findings.  I don’t think report is the last word on these issues. There is much more work to be done to understand the issues that were factors in care home outbreaks.

“This report tells us some of that but it does not tell us all of that.”


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The report found between March 1 and April 21 there were 3,599 discharges from hospitals to care homes, with the majority (81.9 percent) not tested for coronavirus.

Of the 650 who were tested, 78 received a positive result while in hospital and of these patients, ten tested negative before they were discharged while the remainder did not.

The report noted that on April 21, Health Secretary Jeane Freeman said Covid-19 patients being discharged from hospitals to care homes should have given two negative tests before being moved.

Between April 22 and May 31, there were 1,605 discharges from hospitals to care homes, with 93 percent of them (1,493) being tested for Covid-19, in line with changes in clinical guidance.

Of these, 1,215 tested negative and 278 tested positive.

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