Iceland election polls: Current Government holding on by TINY possibility – latest polls

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The next Icelandic parliamentary election will elect 63 members of the Althing on September 25. Last year, Iceland’s President Gudni Johannesson was re-elected with a whopping 92 percent of the vote. But this year’s parliamentary election will be much more divided. But what do the latest polls say about the potential outcome?

Iceland’s current Government was formed four years ago in the wake of a snap election held after the previous Government collapsed.

The election process was tumultuous and spanned several weeks.

After this deliberation period, three parties – including the Left-Green Movement, the Progressive Party and the Independence Party – formed a coalition Government.

These parties hammered out a power and platform-sharing agreement between them.

Ahead of the September 25 election, nine parties are polling high enough to potentially win seats in Parliament.

This means Icelandic politics could be on the brink of another coalition – with the ruling coalition on the brink of retaining or losing power.

Coming up to the 2021 election, many issues are in the hearts of voters – mainly healthcare, the economy and the environment.

All of these issues are to some degree underpinned and impacted by the coronavirus pandemic.

Iceland has reported 11,338 cases in total since the pandemic started – experiencing the third wave of new infections in late August/early September.

The Government has been praised for its handling of the pandemic – but according to the latest polls, the leading parties could be losing support.

According to the latest poll published in September, 21 percent of voters back the Independence Party, which is 6.4 percentage points ahead of the next nearest competitor.

The party in second place was the Social Democratic Alliance with 14.6 percent, followed by the Pirate Party with 12.3 percent of the vote.

The Reform Party, Progressive Party and Left-Green Movement ranked next with 12.3, 12 and 11.5 percent respectively.

Finally, the Socialist Party, Centre Party and People’s Party were backed by 6.1, 5.5 and 3.6 percent respectively.

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A Gallup poll conducted from August 30 to September 12, including 5,828 people, put the Independence Party 10.2 percentage points ahead of the nearest rival with 21 percent of the vote share.

In second place was the Progressive Party with 12.9 percent, followed by the Left-Green Movement with 11.8 percent.

The Social Democratic Alliance and Pirate Party were next with 11 percent, followed by the Reform Party with 9.9 percent.

This leaves the Socialist Party, Centre Party and People’s Party with 7.8, 7.6 and 4.9 percent respectively.

The most recent MMR poll was conducted from September 8 to 10 and saw the Independence Party walk away with 22.3 percent of the vote share which is 7.3 percentage points ahead of the Progressive Party with 15 percent.

The Reform Party and Social Democratic Alliance were next with 12.2 and 11.6 percent respectively.

The fifth highest party in the MMR poll was the Pirate Party which won 9.9 percent of vote share.

The Socialist Party, Centre Party and People’s Party were next with 6.7, 6 and 5 percent respectively.

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